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| Sentiment | FG Range | Trades | Total PnL | Mean PnL / Trade | Win Rate | Avg Trade Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | 75–100 | 26,195 | $2,413,490 | $173.62 | 88.2% | $3,032 |
| Greed | 55–74 | 21,622 | $1,201,781 | $106.78 | 81.9% | $3,723 |
| Neutral | 45–54 | 3,460 | $125,362 | $89.10 | 60.6% | $4,548 |
| Fear | 25–44 | 1,140 | -$120,760 | -$239.13 | 64.9% | $4,317 |
| Extreme Fear | 0–24 | 80 | -$13,014 | -$342.46 | 86.8% | $5,256 |
| # | Address | Total PnL | Win Rate | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 0xb123…ed23 | $2,143,383 | 33.7% | 14,733 |
| 02 | 0x0833…2012 | $1,600,230 | 36.0% | 3,818 |
| 03 | 0xbaaa…7864 | $940,164 | 46.8% | 21,192 |
| 04 | 0x513b…4ff1 | $840,423 | 40.1% | 12,236 |
| 05 | 0xbee1…7aab | $836,081 | 42.8% | 40,184 |
During Extreme Greed (FG 75+), traders earned $2.41M with an 88.2% win rate — the highest of any sentiment category. These periods generated 66% of all profits despite representing only 12% of days in 2024.
Close Long positions during Fear periods lost $134,214 on average (-$512/trade). Meanwhile, Close Short during Fear made a small profit — suggesting shorts work better in fear environments.
Extreme Fear had an 86.8% win rate yet still lost money overall. Small wins were wiped out by catastrophic losses of -$342 mean PnL. High win rates don't guarantee profitability.
Noon (12:00 IST) is the most profitable hour with $911,657 PnL. Early morning (7:00) and evening (19:00–20:00) also perform strongly. Overnight hours 2–6 AM show elevated PnL from Asian market activity.
During Extreme Greed, SELL trades made $2.62M vs BUY trades losing -$206K. This counterintuitive signal suggests top traders systematically sold into strength — a classic "sell the euphoria" strategy.
The top two earners ($2.14M and $1.6M) had win rates of only 33–36%, suggesting a momentum/trend-following style: cut losses fast, let winners run long. The best trader by win rate (81%) ranked 10th by PnL.